Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.366138 0.404791 0.446272 0.494176 0.548069 0.606936 0.676251
2025-04-27 0.306259 0.360261 0.422474 0.499790 0.593770 0.704896 0.847121
2025-05-04 0.271614 0.332898 0.406920 0.503603 0.627558 0.782498 0.992953
2025-05-11 0.245550 0.310977 0.393062 0.504697 0.654230 0.849983 1.129565
2025-05-18 0.227069 0.295780 0.384858 0.510346 0.685044 0.923343 1.279443
2025-05-25 0.206036 0.274787 0.366411 0.499400 0.690755 0.961219 1.381678
2025-06-01 0.194362 0.265095 0.361874 0.506441 0.721217 1.035514 1.543557
2025-06-08 0.180990 0.251750 0.350831 0.502648 0.734719 1.085089 1.671848
2025-06-15 0.171543 0.243113 0.345567 0.506439 0.759236 1.152695 1.834974
2025-06-22 0.160113 0.230663 0.333639 0.498865 0.764964 1.190580 1.952230
2025-06-29 0.150608 0.220359 0.324062 0.493922 0.774005 1.233941 2.082614
2025-07-06 0.138360 0.205079 0.305818 0.473712 0.756135 1.230428 2.128895
2025-07-13 0.132749 0.199804 0.302922 0.478380 0.780670 1.302246 2.322339
2025-07-20 0.127634 0.194977 0.300397 0.483429 0.806254 1.378327 2.533299
2025-07-27 0.122680 0.190050 0.297300 0.487121 0.829508 1.452025 2.748144
2025-08-03 0.117611 0.184599 0.292933 0.488173 0.847888 1.518099 2.955383
2025-08-10 0.113759 0.180895 0.291194 0.493610 0.874615 1.602318 3.210749
2025-08-17 0.107345 0.172527 0.281004 0.483075 0.870221 1.625064 3.336231
2025-08-24 0.104370 0.169812 0.280353 0.489852 0.899564 1.717866 3.628867
2025-08-31 0.099888 0.164246 0.274360 0.486201 0.907985 1.768368 3.831086
2025-09-07 0.096861 0.161039 0.272334 0.489850 0.931215 1.851959 4.122269
2025-09-14 0.092380 0.155028 0.264911 0.482560 0.931377 1.885809 4.296819
2025-09-21 0.088557 0.149999 0.258996 0.477801 0.936377 1.930646 4.504786